So Wales has spoken. Decisively. But not with agreement.

PR would always in all likelihood mean no overall majority. Coalition agreements are quite common place in other countries and do not lead to instability.

It would seem clear that Rhun ap Iorwerth will be First Minister, and Plaid Cymru lead the government. Reform do not have the numbers, even if Welsh Conservatives joined them. Plaid and Welsh Labour could form a coalition, although I think that is unlikely. Labour probably needs a period out of government. The Greens and Liberal Democrat still leave Plaid three votes short of a senedd majority. It may be therefore that Plaid lead a minority government, with perhaps Labour, Greens and Lib Democrat abstaining on the First Minister vote.

It will be interesting to see it unfold. It is likely therefore the FMs of all devolved administrations will be led by nationalist parties. I think that some reflection needs to be done about what the word nationalist means. Reform UK are a British nationalist party for example. It does mean, I think, the fabric of what binds the UK will have to be looked at. Then again, I am an Englishman in Wales; what do I know.

Over to you….